Goal expectancy
2.52Expected goals0.68
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Riga 5-1 Super Nova Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Riga
Estimated win chances: Riga 77.4%, draw 14.7%, Super Nova 7.9%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
87Hot streakRiga
Weighted momentum
Riga carries the sharper recent run (+76 momentum).
11Cold spellSuper Nova
Riga · compact defense · hot formSuper Nova · High-risk / fragile
Riga
12W · 3D · 0LRecent →DWWWWWWWWDWWWDW
Momentum index
Super Nova
2W · 1D · 12LRecent →LLDLLLLLLWLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRiga +32
Riga
39 pts80% wins
12W · 3D · 0L · 15 played
For37
Against5
Super Nova
7 pts13% wins
2W · 1D · 12L · 15 played
For12
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Riga offensive edge
Riga's attack (67%) vs Super Nova's defense (6%).
+61 - Super Nova offensive edge
Super Nova runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-61
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rigacompact defense · hot form
Super NovaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Riga0%
0Draws
1Super Nova100%