Robur Siena 4-1 Chievo Prediction

Robur SienaRobur Siena
4 — 1FT
ChievoChievo

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Robur Siena

Estimated win chances: Robur Siena 43.3%, draw 29.9%, Chievo 26.8%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.18Expected goals0.86

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–015.5%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–013.1%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 2–09.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

46MixedRobur Siena
Weighted momentum

Robur Siena carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).

33Cold spellChievo
Robur Siena · Structured / conservativeChievo · Structured / conservative

Robur Siena

2W · 4D · 2L
Recent →DWDLWDLD
Momentum index

Chievo

2W · 3D · 3L
Recent →LLDDWWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRobur Siena +1

Robur Siena

10 pts
25% wins

2W · 4D · 2L · 8 played

For
7
Against
5
Goal diff +2

Chievo

9 pts
25% wins

2W · 3D · 3L · 8 played

For
6
Against
7
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Robur Siena offensive edge

    Robur Siena's attack (75%) vs Chievo's defense (50%).

    +25
  • Chievo offensive edge

    Chievo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -25

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Robur Siena75
Chievo25

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Robur Siena50
Chievo50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Robur Siena46
Chievo33

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Robur Siena100
Chievo0

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Robur Siena30
Chievo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Robur Siena62
Chievo38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Robur Siena0
Chievo0
Robur SienaStructured / conservative
ChievoStructured / conservative