Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.23
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Roda 37.2%, draw 27.1%, Cambuur 35.8%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingRoda
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
63BuildingCambuur
Cambuur · compact defense
Roda
9W · 6D · 6LRecent →WLLWDWWWDWLLWDWDWLDDL
Momentum index
Cambuur
11W · 2D · 8LRecent →WLWWDLWWWWWLWLWDLLLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCambuur +2
Roda
33 pts43% wins
9W · 6D · 6L · 21 played
For28
Against27
Cambuur
35 pts52% wins
11W · 2D · 8L · 21 played
For29
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Roda offensive edge
Roda faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Cambuur offensive edge
Cambuur's attack (50%) vs Roda's defense (42%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cambuurcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Roda60%
2Draws
0Cambuur0%