Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.70
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Excelsior
Estimated win chances: Roda 30.6%, draw 23.7%, Excelsior 45.8%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedRoda
Weighted momentum
Excelsior arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
76Hot streakExcelsior
Roda · low scoringExcelsior · hot form
Roda
2W · 4D · 2LRecent →DWDWLDDL
Momentum index
Excelsior
5W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDWWWDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapExcelsior +7
Roda
10 pts25% wins
2W · 4D · 2L · 8 played
For7
Against12
Excelsior
17 pts63% wins
5W · 2D · 1L · 8 played
For23
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Roda offensive edge
Roda faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Excelsior offensive edge
Excelsior's attack (78%) vs Roda's defense (55%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rodalow scoring
Excelsiorhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Roda29%
1Draws
4Excelsior57%