Goal expectancy
1.71Expected goals0.94
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
RSD Alcalá 2-0 Aravaca Prediction
Balanced — model leans Rsd Alcalá
Estimated win chances: Rsd Alcalá 55.5%, draw 23.9%, Aravaca 20.6%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
80Hot streakRsd Alcalá
Weighted momentum
Rsd Alcalá carries the sharper recent run (+49 momentum).
31Cold spellAravaca
Rsd Alcalá · compact defense · hot formAravaca · cold form
Rsd Alcalá
15W · 3D · 2LRecent →WWWDDWWWWWLWWLDWWWWW
Momentum index
Aravaca
5W · 7D · 8LRecent →LLDDLDLWWLLLWWDDLDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRsd Alcalá +26
Rsd Alcalá
48 pts75% wins
15W · 3D · 2L · 20 played
For38
Against16
Aravaca
22 pts25% wins
5W · 7D · 8L · 20 played
For22
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rsd Alcalá offensive edge
Rsd Alcalá's attack (64%) vs Aravaca's defense (18%).
+46 - Aravaca offensive edge
Aravaca runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-46
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rsd Alcalácompact defense · hot form
Aravacacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Rsd Alcalá0%
0Draws
1Aravaca100%