Rwanda 1-1 Guinea Prediction

RwandaRwanda
1 — 1FT
GuineaGuinea
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

RwandaRwandavsGuineaGuinea

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Guinea

Estimated win chances: Rwanda 31.8%, draw 25.8%, Guinea 42.4%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.22Expected goals1.45

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–17.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

0Cold spellRwanda
Weighted momentum

Guinea arrives with stronger form weighting (+100 momentum).

100Hot streakGuinea
Rwanda · High-risk / fragileGuinea · compact defense · hot form

Rwanda

0W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LLL
Momentum index

Guinea

3W · 0D · 0L
Recent →WWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapGuinea +9

Rwanda

0 pts
0% wins

0W · 0D · 3L · 3 played

For
2
Against
6
Goal diff -4

Guinea

9 pts
100% wins

3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played

For
6
Against
2
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Rwanda offensive edge

    Rwanda faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -50
  • Guinea offensive edge

    Guinea's attack (75%) vs Rwanda's defense (25%).

    +50

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Rwanda25
Guinea75

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Rwanda25
Guinea75

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Rwanda0
Guinea100

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Rwanda-50
Guinea150

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Rwanda41
Guinea30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Rwanda0
Guinea100

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Rwanda0
Guinea100
RwandaHigh-risk / fragile
Guineacompact defense · hot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Rwanda100%
0Draws
0Guinea0%

Recent meetings

Guinea
2 – 0FT
Rwanda

Africa Cup of NationsGroup stage, matchday 4