Saint Etienne 1-1 Monaco Prediction

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
1 — 1FT
MonacoMonaco
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Saint EtienneSaint EtiennevsMonacoMonaco

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Saint Etienne

Estimated win chances: Saint Etienne 42.4%, draw 27.9%, Monaco 29.7%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.29Expected goals1.03

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 0–010%
  • 2–18.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedSaint Etienne
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedMonaco
Monaco · low scoring

Saint Etienne

11W · 11D · 10L
Recent →LWDDDWLLLLWWLDWWDDDDLLDLDWWWWDWL
Momentum index

Monaco

8W · 14D · 10L
Recent →WLWWLWDDLWLDDWDLLDLDWDLDLLDDWDDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSaint Etienne +6

Saint Etienne

44 pts
34% wins

11W · 11D · 10L · 32 played

For
40
Against
39
Goal diff +1

Monaco

38 pts
25% wins

8W · 14D · 10L · 32 played

For
32
Against
32
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Saint Etienne offensive edge

    Saint Etienne faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -15
  • Monaco offensive edge

    Monaco's attack (55%) vs Saint Etienne's defense (40%).

    +15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Saint Etienne45
Monaco55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Saint Etienne40
Monaco60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Saint Etienne42
Monaco44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Saint Etienne20
Monaco80

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Saint Etienne30
Monaco30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Saint Etienne40
Monaco60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Saint Etienne100
Monaco0
Monacolow scoring