Saint Etienne 1-2 Rennes Prediction

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
1 — 2FT
RennesRennes

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Saint Etienne

Estimated win chances: Saint Etienne 38.4%, draw 29.2%, Rennes 32.4%. From 35 and 35 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.15Expected goals1.03

From 35 and 35 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–013.1%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–17.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedSaint Etienne
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedRennes
Rennes · Structured / conservative

Saint Etienne

12W · 12D · 11L
Recent →LWDLWDDDWLLLLWWLDWWDDDDLLDLDWWWWDWL
Momentum index

Rennes

14W · 11D · 10L
Recent →DLDLLLDDLWWWWWLWLWDWDLWLDLDWWDWWDWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRennes +5

Saint Etienne

48 pts
34% wins

12W · 12D · 11L · 35 played

For
43
Against
42
Goal diff +1

Rennes

53 pts
40% wins

14W · 11D · 10L · 35 played

For
34
Against
29
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Saint Etienne offensive edge

    Saint Etienne's attack (71%) vs Rennes's defense (50%).

    +21
  • Rennes offensive edge

    Rennes runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Saint Etienne71
Rennes29

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Saint Etienne50
Rennes50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Saint Etienne43
Rennes44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Saint Etienne92
Rennes8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Saint Etienne30
Rennes30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Saint Etienne78
Rennes22

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Saint Etienne50
Rennes50
RennesStructured / conservative