Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals0.89
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Samambaia 0-1 Sobradinho EC Prediction
Balanced — model leans Samambaia
Estimated win chances: Samambaia 53.1%, draw 25.5%, Sobradinho Ec 21.5%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
73Hot streakSamambaia
Weighted momentum
Samambaia carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
58BuildingSobradinho Ec
Samambaia · compact defense · hot formSobradinho Ec · compact defense
Samambaia
6W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWWWWLWDWD
Momentum index
Sobradinho Ec
5W · 3D · 2LRecent →DWLWLWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSamambaia +3
Samambaia
21 pts60% wins
6W · 3D · 1L · 10 played
For21
Against5
Sobradinho Ec
18 pts50% wins
5W · 3D · 2L · 10 played
For11
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Samambaia offensive edge
Samambaia's attack (80%) vs Sobradinho Ec's defense (20%).
+60 - Sobradinho Ec offensive edge
Sobradinho Ec runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-60
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Samambaiacompact defense · hot form
Sobradinho Eccompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Samambaia50%
2Draws
0Sobradinho Ec0%