Goal expectancy
1.32Expected goals1.30
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Sámano 37.3%, draw 26.3%, Vimenor 36.4%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
30Cold spellSámano
Weighted momentum
Vimenor arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
56BuildingVimenor
Sámano · cold form
Sámano
3W · 4D · 8LRecent →LLWWDDLLDLLLLDW
Momentum index
Vimenor
8W · 2D · 5LRecent →DDLWWWLWWLLWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVimenor +13
Sámano
13 pts20% wins
3W · 4D · 8L · 15 played
For18
Against24
Vimenor
26 pts53% wins
8W · 2D · 5L · 15 played
For20
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sámano offensive edge
Sámano faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Vimenor offensive edge
Vimenor's attack (44%) vs Sámano's defense (40%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sámanocold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sámano20%
2Draws
2Vimenor40%