Goal expectancy
1.98Expected goals1.01
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Samobor
Estimated win chances: Samobor 59.9%, draw 21.4%, Hašk 18.7%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingSamobor
Weighted momentum
Samobor carries the sharper recent run (+39 momentum).
16Cold spellHašk
Hašk · High-risk / fragile
Samobor
6W · 0D · 5LRecent →LWLWWWLLWWL
Momentum index
Hašk
1W · 1D · 9LRecent →LDLWLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSamobor +14
Samobor
18 pts55% wins
6W · 0D · 5L · 11 played
For17
Against14
Hašk
4 pts9% wins
1W · 1D · 9L · 11 played
For8
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Samobor offensive edge
Samobor's attack (62%) vs Hašk's defense (38%).
+24 - Hašk offensive edge
Hašk runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
HaškHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Samobor100%
0Draws
0Hašk0%