Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.26
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Samobor 1-1 Sava Strmec Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Samobor
Estimated win chances: Samobor 44.3%, draw 24.9%, Sava Strmec 30.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellSamobor
Weighted momentum
Sava Strmec arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
43MixedSava Strmec
Samobor · High-risk / fragileSava Strmec · low scoring · leaky defense
Samobor
2W · 1D · 6LRecent →LLWLDLWLL
Momentum index
Sava Strmec
3W · 0D · 6LRecent →WLWLWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSava Strmec +2
Samobor
7 pts22% wins
2W · 1D · 6L · 9 played
For8
Against17
Sava Strmec
9 pts33% wins
3W · 0D · 6L · 9 played
For8
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Samobor offensive edge
Samobor faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-21 - Sava Strmec offensive edge
Sava Strmec's attack (58%) vs Samobor's defense (38%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SamoborHigh-risk / fragile
Sava Strmeclow scoring · leaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Samobor0%
0Draws
2Sava Strmec100%