Sampaio Correa 1-1 Luminense Prediction

Sampaio CorreaSampaio Correa
1 — 1FT
LuminenseLuminense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Sampaio CorreaSampaio CorreavsLuminenseLuminense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Sampaio Correa

Estimated win chances: Sampaio Correa 45.6%, draw 27%, Luminense 27.3%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals1.01

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113%
  • 1–012.8%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–09.2%
  • 2–19%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

52BuildingSampaio Correa
Weighted momentum

Sampaio Correa carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).

39Cold spellLuminense
Sampaio Correa · compact defenseLuminense · low scoring · cold form

Sampaio Correa

1W · 3D · 0L
Recent →DWDD
Momentum index

Luminense

2W · 0D · 2L
Recent →LLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Sampaio Correa

6 pts
25% wins

1W · 3D · 0L · 4 played

For
5
Against
3
Goal diff +2

Luminense

6 pts
50% wins

2W · 0D · 2L · 4 played

For
3
Against
4
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Sampaio Correa offensive edge

    Sampaio Correa's attack (63%) vs Luminense's defense (43%).

    +20
  • Luminense offensive edge

    Luminense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -19

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Sampaio Correa63
Luminense38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Sampaio Correa57
Luminense43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Sampaio Correa52
Luminense39

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Sampaio Correa90
Luminense12

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Sampaio Correa30
Luminense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Sampaio Correa50
Luminense50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Sampaio Correa0
Luminense0
Sampaio Correacompact defense
Luminenselow scoring · cold form