Sandefjord 5-5 Molde Prediction

SandefjordSandefjord
5 — 5FT
MoldeMolde

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Molde

Estimated win chances: Sandefjord 33.8%, draw 23.8%, Molde 42.4%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals1.64

From 25 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 1–06.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

35Cold spellSandefjord
Weighted momentum

Molde arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).

59BuildingMolde
Sandefjord · low scoring · cold form

Sandefjord

7W · 6D · 12L
Recent →WLLDWLDDWLLLLDLDLWWLDWWLL
Momentum index

Molde

13W · 4D · 8L
Recent →LWWDLWWWWLDWLDWLWLWWDWLLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMolde +16

Sandefjord

27 pts
28% wins

7W · 6D · 12L · 25 played

For
26
Against
34
Goal diff -8

Molde

43 pts
52% wins

13W · 4D · 8L · 25 played

For
59
Against
39
Goal diff +20

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Sandefjord offensive edge

    Sandefjord faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -11
  • Molde offensive edge

    Molde's attack (67%) vs Sandefjord's defense (56%).

    +11

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Sandefjord33
Molde67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Sandefjord56
Molde44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Sandefjord35
Molde59

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Sandefjord28
Molde72

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Sandefjord30
Molde32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Sandefjord50
Molde50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Sandefjord80
Molde20
Sandefjordlow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

6Sandefjord60%
1Draws
3Molde30%

Recent meetings