Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.64
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sandefjord 5-5 Molde Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Molde
Estimated win chances: Sandefjord 33.8%, draw 23.8%, Molde 42.4%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellSandefjord
Weighted momentum
Molde arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
59BuildingMolde
Sandefjord · low scoring · cold form
Sandefjord
7W · 6D · 12LRecent →WLLDWLDDWLLLLDLDLWWLDWWLL
Momentum index
Molde
13W · 4D · 8LRecent →LWWDLWWWWLDWLDWLWLWWDWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMolde +16
Sandefjord
27 pts28% wins
7W · 6D · 12L · 25 played
For26
Against34
Molde
43 pts52% wins
13W · 4D · 8L · 25 played
For59
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sandefjord offensive edge
Sandefjord faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Molde offensive edge
Molde's attack (67%) vs Sandefjord's defense (56%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sandefjordlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Sandefjord60%
1Draws
3Molde30%