Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals0.97
From 25 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Santa Fe
Estimated win chances: Santa Fe 57.8%, draw 22.6%, Chico 19.6%. From 25 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedSanta Fe
Weighted momentum
Santa Fe carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
33Cold spellChico
Chico · High-risk / fragile
Santa Fe
8W · 11D · 6LRecent →DLLDWDWWWDDLWWDDLWLLDWDDD
Momentum index
Chico
5W · 2D · 13LRecent →LWLLWLWLDLWLLLWLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Santa Fe
35 pts32% wins
8W · 11D · 6L · 25 played
For38
Against29
Chico
17 pts25% wins
5W · 2D · 13L · 20 played
For15
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Santa Fe offensive edge
Santa Fe's attack (67%) vs Chico's defense (32%).
+35 - Chico offensive edge
Chico runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ChicoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Santa Fe40%
4Draws
2Chico20%