Santomera 0-3 Muleño Prediction

SantomeraSantomera
0 — 3FT
MuleñoMuleño

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Santomera

Estimated win chances: Santomera 57.2%, draw 23.3%, Muleño 19.5%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.76Expected goals0.92

From 27 and 27 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.5%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–011%
  • 2–110.1%
  • 0–07.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakSantomera
Weighted momentum

Santomera carries the sharper recent run (+34 momentum).

34Cold spellMuleño
Santomera · hot formMuleño · low scoring · cold form

Santomera

15W · 6D · 6L
Recent →WWWWLLWDWWWWWDWLDWLDLWDLWDW
Momentum index

Muleño

6W · 10D · 11L
Recent →DDLWLLLWDDDWDWLLLLDLDLDDWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSantomera +23

Santomera

51 pts
56% wins

15W · 6D · 6L · 27 played

For
50
Against
31
Goal diff +19

Muleño

28 pts
22% wins

6W · 10D · 11L · 27 played

For
21
Against
39
Goal diff -18

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Santomera offensive edge

    Santomera's attack (79%) vs Muleño's defense (40%).

    +39
  • Muleño offensive edge

    Muleño runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -39

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Santomera79
Muleño21

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Santomera60
Muleño40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Santomera68
Muleño34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Santomera128
Muleño-28

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Santomera30
Muleño30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Santomera71
Muleño29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Santomera100
Muleño0
Santomerahot form
Muleñolow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Santomera0%
0Draws
1Muleño100%

Recent meetings