Goal expectancy
1.76Expected goals0.92
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Santomera 57.2%, draw 23.3%, Muleño 19.5%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.76Expected goals0.92
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Santomera carries the sharper recent run (+34 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
15W · 6D · 6L · 27 played
6W · 10D · 11L · 27 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Santomera's attack (79%) vs Muleño's defense (40%).
+39Muleño runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-39Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.