Goal expectancy
1.22Expected goals1.34
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Santomera 1-2 Unión Molinense Prediction
Balanced — model leans Unión Molinense
Estimated win chances: Santomera 33.9%, draw 26.6%, Unión Molinense 39.5%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedSantomera
Weighted momentum
Unión Molinense arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).
58BuildingUnión Molinense
Santomera · leaky defense
Santomera
5W · 8D · 9LRecent →WLWLDDDLWWLDDLDLWLDDLL
Momentum index
Unión Molinense
11W · 5D · 6LRecent →DLWWWLLDWWWDWWDWLWLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUnión Molinense +15
Santomera
23 pts23% wins
5W · 8D · 9L · 22 played
For25
Against38
Unión Molinense
38 pts50% wins
11W · 5D · 6L · 22 played
For28
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Santomera offensive edge
Santomera faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Unión Molinense offensive edge
Unión Molinense's attack (60%) vs Santomera's defense (40%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Santomeraleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Santomera0%
2Draws
3Unión Molinense60%