Santos 2-1 Fluminense Prediction

SantosSantos
2 — 1FT
FluminenseFluminense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

SantosSantosvsFluminenseFluminense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Santos 39.2%, draw 26.2%, Fluminense 34.5%. From 16 and 17 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.36Expected goals1.26

From 16 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–28%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

38Cold spellSantos
Weighted momentum

Fluminense arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

49MixedFluminense
Santos · cold form

Santos

5W · 3D · 8L
Recent →WLLDWLLLWLWLDWLD
Momentum index

Fluminense

8W · 1D · 8L
Recent →DWLLWWLWLLWWLLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Santos

18 pts
31% wins

5W · 3D · 8L · 16 played

For
20
Against
26
Goal diff -6

Fluminense

25 pts
47% wins

8W · 1D · 8L · 17 played

For
20
Against
18
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Santos offensive edge

    Santos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -8
  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense's attack (58%) vs Santos's defense (50%).

    +8

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Santos42
Fluminense58

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Santos50
Fluminense50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Santos38
Fluminense49

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Santos34
Fluminense66

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Santos32
Fluminense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Santos50
Fluminense50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Santos50
Fluminense50
Santoscold form