Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.76
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Pte-peac
Estimated win chances: Sárbogárd 29.8%, draw 23.3%, Pte-peac 47%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
11Cold spellSárbogárd
Weighted momentum
Pte-peac arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
36Cold spellPte-peac
Sárbogárd · High-risk / fragilePte-peac · cold form
Sárbogárd
1W · 2D · 11LRecent →LLLLLDLWLDLLLL
Momentum index
Pte-peac
5W · 4D · 5LRecent →WLLLLDDDDWWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPte-peac +14
Sárbogárd
5 pts7% wins
1W · 2D · 11L · 14 played
For11
Against41
Pte-peac
19 pts36% wins
5W · 4D · 5L · 14 played
For20
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sárbogárd offensive edge
Sárbogárd faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-24 - Pte-peac offensive edge
Pte-peac's attack (63%) vs Sárbogárd's defense (38%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SárbogárdHigh-risk / fragile
Pte-peaccold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sárbogárd100%
0Draws
0Pte-peac0%