Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.65
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sartoise 0-2 Nothomb-Post Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Nothomb-post
Estimated win chances: Sartoise 34.8%, draw 23.6%, Nothomb-post 41.6%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
30Cold spellSartoise
Weighted momentum
Nothomb-post arrives with stronger form weighting (+33 momentum).
63BuildingNothomb-post
Sartoise · High-risk / fragile
Sartoise
4W · 6D · 8LRecent →LDLDLDLWWWLLLDLWDD
Momentum index
Nothomb-post
10W · 3D · 5LRecent →WLWLWWWWLDDWWDWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNothomb-post +15
Sartoise
18 pts22% wins
4W · 6D · 8L · 18 played
For25
Against31
Nothomb-post
33 pts56% wins
10W · 3D · 5L · 18 played
For40
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sartoise offensive edge
Sartoise faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-36 - Nothomb-post offensive edge
Nothomb-post's attack (71%) vs Sartoise's defense (35%).
+36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SartoiseHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Sartoise0%
1Draws
2Nothomb-post67%