Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.12
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
SC Covilha 0-1 Caldas Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sc Covilha
Estimated win chances: Sc Covilha 43.1%, draw 26.6%, Caldas 30.3%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellSc Covilha
Weighted momentum
Caldas arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).
41MixedCaldas
Sc Covilha · low scoring · cold formCaldas · leaky defense
Sc Covilha
1W · 4D · 2LRecent →DDDLLDW
Momentum index
Caldas
2W · 2D · 3LRecent →DLWWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCaldas +1
Sc Covilha
7 pts14% wins
1W · 4D · 2L · 7 played
For5
Against7
Caldas
8 pts29% wins
2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played
For9
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sc Covilha offensive edge
Sc Covilha faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Caldas offensive edge
Caldas's attack (75%) vs Sc Covilha's defense (61%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sc Covilhalow scoring · cold form
Caldasleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Sc Covilha60%
2Draws
2Caldas20%