Goal expectancy
1.08Expected goals0.96
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Security Systems 1-2 BDF XI Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Security Systems
Estimated win chances: Security Systems 37.9%, draw 30.4%, Bdf Xi 31.7%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellSecurity Systems
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
26Cold spellBdf Xi
Security Systems · low scoring · cold formBdf Xi · low scoring · cold form
Security Systems
5W · 7D · 12LRecent →WLLDDDLDWLLWLLDLLWDLLLDW
Momentum index
Bdf Xi
4W · 8D · 12LRecent →LWDLLLWLLLDLDDLLDWDDLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSecurity Systems +2
Security Systems
22 pts21% wins
5W · 7D · 12L · 24 played
For16
Against31
Bdf Xi
20 pts17% wins
4W · 8D · 12L · 24 played
For17
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Security Systems offensive edge
Security Systems faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Bdf Xi offensive edge
Bdf Xi's attack (80%) vs Security Systems's defense (62%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Security Systemslow scoring · cold form
Bdf Xilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Security Systems11%
5Draws
3Bdf Xi33%