Goal expectancy
0.91Expected goals1.26
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Security Systems 0-0 Galaxy Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Galaxy
Estimated win chances: Security Systems 26.8%, draw 28.8%, Galaxy 44.4%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellSecurity Systems
Weighted momentum
Galaxy arrives with stronger form weighting (+38 momentum).
67BuildingGalaxy
Security Systems · low scoring · cold formGalaxy · compact defense · hot form
Security Systems
4W · 6D · 10LRecent →DDLDWLLWLLDLLWDLLLDW
Momentum index
Galaxy
10W · 10D · 0LRecent →WDWDWWDWDDDDWWWDDWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGalaxy +22
Security Systems
18 pts20% wins
4W · 6D · 10L · 20 played
For15
Against26
Galaxy
40 pts50% wins
10W · 10D · 0L · 20 played
For29
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Security Systems offensive edge
Security Systems faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-26 - Galaxy offensive edge
Galaxy's attack (69%) vs Security Systems's defense (43%).
+26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Security Systemslow scoring · cold form
Galaxycompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Security Systems44%
0Draws
5Galaxy56%