Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals0.93
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Security Systems 3-1 Holy Ghost Prediction
Balanced — model leans Security Systems
Estimated win chances: Security Systems 52.3%, draw 25.3%, Holy Ghost 22.3%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedSecurity Systems
Weighted momentum
Security Systems carries the sharper recent run (+16 momentum).
28Cold spellHoly Ghost
Holy Ghost · High-risk / fragile
Security Systems
10W · 1D · 10LRecent →LLLWWLLLWWLWWWWLLLWWD
Momentum index
Holy Ghost
4W · 6D · 11LRecent →DLWLLLLDLLWDWLDDWLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSecurity Systems +13
Security Systems
31 pts48% wins
10W · 1D · 10L · 21 played
For25
Against28
Holy Ghost
18 pts19% wins
4W · 6D · 11L · 21 played
For13
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Security Systems offensive edge
Security Systems's attack (63%) vs Holy Ghost's defense (56%).
+7 - Holy Ghost offensive edge
Holy Ghost runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Holy GhostHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Security Systems33%
1Draws
1Holy Ghost33%