Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.01
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Sedan
Estimated win chances: Sedan 48.3%, draw 26.1%, Le Mans 25.6%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingSedan
Weighted momentum
Sedan carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
38Cold spellLe Mans
Le Mans · low scoring · cold form
Sedan
8W · 6D · 5LRecent →LWDDWLWWLDWDWDDLLWW
Momentum index
Le Mans
4W · 7D · 8LRecent →WLDDLDWDLWDDLDLWLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSedan +11
Sedan
30 pts42% wins
8W · 6D · 5L · 19 played
For30
Against25
Le Mans
19 pts21% wins
4W · 7D · 8L · 19 played
For16
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sedan offensive edge
Sedan's attack (64%) vs Le Mans's defense (50%).
+14 - Le Mans offensive edge
Le Mans runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Le Manslow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Sedan67%
1Draws
0Le Mans0%