Goal expectancy
2.60Expected goals1.52
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Selfoss
Estimated win chances: Selfoss 60.8%, draw 18%, Kfg 21.2%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
72Hot streakSelfoss
Weighted momentum
Selfoss carries the sharper recent run (+36 momentum).
36Cold spellKfg
Selfoss · Open but unstableKfg · High-risk / fragile
Selfoss
12W · 6D · 3LRecent →WWWDWLWWWDWDLWDWWDWDL
Momentum index
Kfg
7W · 1D · 13LRecent →WLWWLLLDLLLLLWWLWLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSelfoss +20
Selfoss
42 pts57% wins
12W · 6D · 3L · 21 played
For53
Against35
Kfg
22 pts33% wins
7W · 1D · 13L · 21 played
For37
Against56
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Selfoss offensive edge
Selfoss's attack (54%) vs Kfg's defense (46%).
+8 - Kfg offensive edge
Kfg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SelfossOpen but unstable
KfgHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Selfoss20%
1Draws
3Kfg60%