Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.27
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Septemvri Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Septemvri Sofia 36.4%, draw 26.8%, Cska Sofia 36.8%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedSeptemvri Sofia
Weighted momentum
Cska Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
56BuildingCska Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
9W · 3D · 13LRecent →LWDWWDWLLLWWLLWLDWWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Cska Sofia
10W · 7D · 8LRecent →DWDWWLDWWDDWDWLLDWWLLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCska Sofia +7
Septemvri Sofia
30 pts36% wins
9W · 3D · 13L · 25 played
For29
Against36
Cska Sofia
37 pts40% wins
10W · 7D · 8L · 25 played
For35
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Cska Sofia offensive edge
Cska Sofia's attack (50%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (38%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Septemvri Sofia50%
0Draws
3Cska Sofia50%