Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.40
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Septemvri Sofia 0-3 CSKA Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Cska Sofia
Estimated win chances: Septemvri Sofia 34.3%, draw 25.9%, Cska Sofia 39.8%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
8Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Weighted momentum
Cska Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+76 momentum).
84Hot streakCska Sofia
Septemvri Sofia · High-risk / fragileCska Sofia · hot form
Septemvri Sofia
0W · 1D · 2LRecent →LLD
Momentum index
Cska Sofia
2W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCska Sofia +6
Septemvri Sofia
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
For2
Against6
Cska Sofia
7 pts67% wins
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
For5
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-38 - Cska Sofia offensive edge
Cska Sofia's attack (71%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (33%).
+38
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Septemvri SofiaHigh-risk / fragile
Cska Sofiahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Septemvri Sofia60%
0Draws
4Cska Sofia40%