Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.35
From 7 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Septemvri Sofia 2-3 Slavia Sofia Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Septemvri Sofia 36.1%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 37.9%. From 7 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedSeptemvri Sofia
Weighted momentum
Septemvri Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
36Cold spellSlavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia · cold form
Septemvri Sofia
3W · 0D · 4LRecent →WWLLLWL
Momentum index
Slavia Sofia
1W · 3D · 1LRecent →DLDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Septemvri Sofia
9 pts43% wins
3W · 0D · 4L · 7 played
For8
Against11
Slavia Sofia
6 pts20% wins
1W · 3D · 1L · 5 played
For8
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Slavia Sofia offensive edge
Slavia Sofia's attack (57%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (38%).
+19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Slavia Sofiacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Septemvri Sofia60%
0Draws
4Slavia Sofia40%