Goal expectancy
1.42Expected goals1.03
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Seravezza
Estimated win chances: Seravezza 46%, draw 26.7%, Gavorrano 27.3%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingSeravezza
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
60BuildingGavorrano
Seravezza · compact defenseGavorrano · compact defense
Seravezza
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →DWLWWDWL
Momentum index
Gavorrano
4W · 4D · 0LRecent →DDDWWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGavorrano +2
Seravezza
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For15
Against5
Gavorrano
16 pts50% wins
4W · 4D · 0L · 8 played
For11
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Seravezza offensive edge
Seravezza's attack (53%) vs Gavorrano's defense (33%).
+20 - Gavorrano offensive edge
Gavorrano runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Seravezzacompact defense
Gavorranocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Seravezza56%
1Draws
3Gavorrano33%