Goal expectancy
2.23Expected goals0.91
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Serra Macaense 6-2 Paraty Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Serra Macaense
Estimated win chances: Serra Macaense 67.3%, draw 18.7%, Paraty 14%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
73Hot streakSerra Macaense
Weighted momentum
Serra Macaense carries the sharper recent run (+73 momentum).
0Cold spellParaty
Serra Macaense · hot formParaty · High-risk / fragile
Serra Macaense
5W · 2D · 2LRecent →WDWWWWLDL
Momentum index
Paraty
0W · 0D · 9LRecent →LLLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSerra Macaense +17
Serra Macaense
17 pts56% wins
5W · 2D · 2L · 9 played
For15
Against9
Paraty
0 pts0% wins
0W · 0D · 9L · 9 played
For5
Against28
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Serra Macaense offensive edge
Serra Macaense's attack (77%) vs Paraty's defense (19%).
+58 - Paraty offensive edge
Paraty runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-58
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Serra Macaensehot form
ParatyHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Serra Macaense0%
1Draws
0Paraty0%