Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.20
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Serrano RJ 1-0 Macaé Prediction
Balanced — model leans Serrano Rj
Estimated win chances: Serrano Rj 41.6%, draw 26.2%, Macaé 32.2%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
62BuildingSerrano Rj
Weighted momentum
Serrano Rj carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
52BuildingMacaé
Serrano Rj
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDWDL
Momentum index
Macaé
2W · 1D · 2LRecent →WDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSerrano Rj +1
Serrano Rj
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For6
Against6
Macaé
7 pts40% wins
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
For7
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Serrano Rj offensive edge
Serrano Rj faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Macaé offensive edge
Macaé's attack (54%) vs Serrano Rj's defense (50%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Serrano Rj0%
0Draws
1Macaé100%