Goal expectancy
1.69Expected goals0.75
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sevastopol 6-0 Odesa Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sevastopol
Estimated win chances: Sevastopol 59.9%, draw 23.8%, Odesa 16.3%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
70Hot streakSevastopol
Weighted momentum
Sevastopol carries the sharper recent run (+44 momentum).
26Cold spellOdesa
Sevastopol · compact defense · hot formOdesa · low scoring · cold form
Sevastopol
8W · 5D · 2LRecent →DWWWDWLWWWDWDLD
Momentum index
Odesa
3W · 2D · 10LRecent →LLWLWLLLLWLDLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSevastopol +18
Sevastopol
29 pts53% wins
8W · 5D · 2L · 15 played
For26
Against11
Odesa
11 pts20% wins
3W · 2D · 10L · 15 played
For9
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sevastopol offensive edge
Sevastopol's attack (69%) vs Odesa's defense (42%).
+27 - Odesa offensive edge
Odesa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sevastopolcompact defense · hot form
Odesalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sevastopol50%
0Draws
1Odesa50%