Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.25
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sevilla 3-1 Atletico Madrid Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Sevilla 39.2%, draw 26.4%, Atletico Madrid 34.5%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedSevilla
Weighted momentum
Atletico Madrid arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
64BuildingAtletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid · compact defense
Sevilla
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →LDWDW
Momentum index
Atletico Madrid
3W · 1D · 1LRecent →WDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAtletico Madrid +2
Sevilla
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For7
Against5
Atletico Madrid
10 pts60% wins
3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played
For9
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sevilla offensive edge
Sevilla faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Atletico Madrid offensive edge
Atletico Madrid's attack (56%) vs Sevilla's defense (44%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Atletico Madridcompact defense