Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.53
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Moik
Estimated win chances: Şimal 32.4%, draw 24.9%, Moik 42.7%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellŞimal
Weighted momentum
Moik arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
42MixedMoik
Şimal · High-risk / fragile
Şimal
4W · 4D · 16LRecent →DWLLLDLWWLLLWLLLLLLLDLDL
Momentum index
Moik
8W · 5D · 11LRecent →LLWLWDDWLWLDLWWWLLDWLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMoik +13
Şimal
16 pts17% wins
4W · 4D · 16L · 24 played
For19
Against57
Moik
29 pts33% wins
8W · 5D · 11L · 24 played
For27
Against36
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Şimal offensive edge
Şimal faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-30 - Moik offensive edge
Moik's attack (83%) vs Şimal's defense (53%).
+30
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ŞimalHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Şimal67%
1Draws
0Moik0%