Goal expectancy
1.64Expected goals1.20
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Simcoe County Rovers 2-1 Sigma Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Simcoe County Rovers
Estimated win chances: Simcoe County Rovers 47.6%, draw 24.4%, Sigma 28%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedSimcoe County Rovers
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellSigma
Simcoe County Rovers · leaky defenseSigma · High-risk / fragile
Simcoe County Rovers
3W · 4D · 5LRecent →WLDDWLWLDLLD
Momentum index
Sigma
3W · 2D · 7LRecent →LDWWWLLLDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSimcoe County Rovers +2
Simcoe County Rovers
13 pts25% wins
3W · 4D · 5L · 12 played
For16
Against21
Sigma
11 pts25% wins
3W · 2D · 7L · 12 played
For9
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Simcoe County Rovers offensive edge
Simcoe County Rovers's attack (63%) vs Sigma's defense (50%).
+13 - Sigma offensive edge
Sigma runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Simcoe County Roversleaky defense
SigmaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Simcoe County Rovers0%
2Draws
0Sigma0%