Simurq 0-2 Bakı Prediction

SimurqSimurq
0 — 2FT
BakıBakı
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

SimurqSimurqvsBakıBakı

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Simurq 33.9%, draw 27.8%, Bakı 38.3%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.14Expected goals1.23

From 19 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

33Cold spellSimurq
Weighted momentum

Bakı arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).

49MixedBakı
Simurq · low scoring · cold form

Simurq

5W · 4D · 10L
Recent →LLLWLDWDWLLLWWLLDDL
Momentum index

Bakı

8W · 5D · 6L
Recent →LLWDLWWWLDWDLWWLWDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBakı +10

Simurq

19 pts
26% wins

5W · 4D · 10L · 19 played

For
18
Against
28
Goal diff -10

Bakı

29 pts
42% wins

8W · 5D · 6L · 19 played

For
23
Against
19
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Simurq offensive edge

    Simurq's attack (83%) vs Bakı's defense (65%).

    +18
  • Bakı offensive edge

    Bakı runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -18

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Simurq83
Bakı17

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Simurq35
Bakı65

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Simurq33
Bakı49

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Simurq86
Bakı14

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Simurq30
Bakı30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Simurq43
Bakı57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Simurq50
Bakı50
Simurqlow scoring · cold form