Goal expectancy
1.02Expected goals1.12
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Simurq 0-2 İnter Bakı Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans İnter Bakı
Estimated win chances: Simurq 32.7%, draw 29.6%, İnter Bakı 37.8%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedSimurq
Weighted momentum
İnter Bakı arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
67Buildingİnter Bakı
İnter Bakı · Structured / conservative
Simurq
5W · 4D · 8LRecent →LWLDWDWLLLWWLLDDL
Momentum index
İnter Bakı
9W · 6D · 2LRecent →WDWDDWWDWWDDWWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapİnter Bakı +14
Simurq
19 pts29% wins
5W · 4D · 8L · 17 played
For18
Against25
İnter Bakı
33 pts53% wins
9W · 6D · 2L · 17 played
For15
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Simurq offensive edge
Simurq faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - İnter Bakı offensive edge
İnter Bakı's attack (33%) vs Simurq's defense (14%).
+19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
İnter BakıStructured / conservative