Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.35
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Sitatunga 35.3%, draw 26.2%, Dragons 38.5%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellSitatunga
Weighted momentum
Dragons arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).
68Hot streakDragons
Sitatunga · low scoring · cold formDragons · hot form
Sitatunga
2W · 0D · 4LRecent →LWLWLL
Momentum index
Dragons
3W · 3D · 0LRecent →DWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDragons +6
Sitatunga
6 pts33% wins
2W · 0D · 4L · 6 played
For5
Against9
Dragons
12 pts50% wins
3W · 3D · 0L · 6 played
For10
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sitatunga offensive edge
Sitatunga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Dragons offensive edge
Dragons's attack (62%) vs Sitatunga's defense (45%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sitatungalow scoring · cold form
Dragonshot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sitatunga50%
1Draws
0Dragons0%