Goal expectancy
0.98Expected goals0.96
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Sitatunga 34.8%, draw 31.4%, Kraké 33.8%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedSitatunga
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
48MixedKraké
Sitatunga · Structured / conservativeKraké · compact defense
Sitatunga
6W · 11D · 8LRecent →DLDWWDWDDDDLLLWDDDDLWLWLL
Momentum index
Kraké
10W · 8D · 7LRecent →LWLDWLDLWWDWLWWDDDLLDWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKraké +9
Sitatunga
29 pts24% wins
6W · 11D · 8L · 25 played
For19
Against23
Kraké
38 pts40% wins
10W · 8D · 7L · 25 played
For27
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sitatunga offensive edge
Sitatunga's attack (40%) vs Kraké's defense (33%).
+7 - Kraké offensive edge
Kraké runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SitatungaStructured / conservative
Krakécompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Sitatunga0%
1Draws
0Kraké0%