Goal expectancy
1.83Expected goals1.02
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Skellefteå 2-2 Boden Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Skellefteå
Estimated win chances: Skellefteå 56.4%, draw 22.8%, Boden 20.8%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
81Hot streakSkellefteå
Weighted momentum
Skellefteå carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
54BuildingBoden
Skellefteå · compact defense · hot form
Skellefteå
12W · 4D · 1LRecent →DWWWWWWDWWWLDWWDW
Momentum index
Boden
7W · 6D · 4LRecent →DWWWLDLDWDWLDLWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSkellefteå +13
Skellefteå
40 pts71% wins
12W · 4D · 1L · 17 played
For38
Against12
Boden
27 pts41% wins
7W · 6D · 4L · 17 played
For23
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Skellefteå offensive edge
Skellefteå's attack (60%) vs Boden's defense (33%).
+27 - Boden offensive edge
Boden runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Skellefteåcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Skellefteå50%
2Draws
3Boden30%