Slagelse B&I 1-0 Herlev Prediction

Slagelse B&ISlagelse B&I
1 — 0FT
HerlevHerlev

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Herlev

Estimated win chances: Slagelse B&i 31.7%, draw 23.9%, Herlev 44.4%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.37Expected goals1.66

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 0–26.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

14Cold spellSlagelse B&i
Weighted momentum

Herlev arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).

55BuildingHerlev
Slagelse B&i · High-risk / fragile

Slagelse B&i

1W · 2D · 8L
Recent →LLDLLLWLDLL
Momentum index

Herlev

4W · 3D · 4L
Recent →DWWWLWLLDLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapHerlev +10

Slagelse B&i

5 pts
9% wins

1W · 2D · 8L · 11 played

For
10
Against
25
Goal diff -15

Herlev

15 pts
36% wins

4W · 3D · 4L · 11 played

For
20
Against
16
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Slagelse B&i offensive edge

    Slagelse B&i faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -62
  • Herlev offensive edge

    Herlev's attack (69%) vs Slagelse B&i's defense (7%).

    +62

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Slagelse B&i31
Herlev69

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Slagelse B&i7
Herlev93

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Slagelse B&i14
Herlev55

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Slagelse B&i-74
Herlev174

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Slagelse B&i48
Herlev30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Slagelse B&i9
Herlev91

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Slagelse B&i85
Herlev15
Slagelse B&iHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

2Slagelse B&i29%
2Draws
3Herlev43%

Recent meetings