Goal expectancy
1.99Expected goals1.38
From 9 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Slavia Sofia 3-2 Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Slavia Sofia
Estimated win chances: Slavia Sofia 51.7%, draw 21.7%, Septemvri Sofia 26.6%. From 9 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingSlavia Sofia
Weighted momentum
Slavia Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
37Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia · High-risk / fragile
Slavia Sofia
4W · 2D · 3LRecent →WLWWLDDWL
Momentum index
Septemvri Sofia
4W · 0D · 6LRecent →LWWLLLLLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Slavia Sofia
14 pts44% wins
4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played
For15
Against13
Septemvri Sofia
12 pts40% wins
4W · 0D · 6L · 10 played
For18
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Slavia Sofia offensive edge
Slavia Sofia's attack (59%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (36%).
+23 - Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Septemvri SofiaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Slavia Sofia50%
0Draws
1Septemvri Sofia50%