Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.11
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Slavia Sofia 2-3 Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Slavia Sofia
Estimated win chances: Slavia Sofia 45.9%, draw 25.8%, Septemvri Sofia 28.2%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingSlavia Sofia
Weighted momentum
Slavia Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).
44MixedSeptemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
10W · 6D · 10LRecent →DWDWDDWWWLLWLWLWLLLLDLWWDL
Momentum index
Septemvri Sofia
9W · 3D · 14LRecent →LLWDWWDWLLLWWLLWLDWWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSlavia Sofia +6
Slavia Sofia
36 pts38% wins
10W · 6D · 10L · 26 played
For34
Against34
Septemvri Sofia
30 pts35% wins
9W · 3D · 14L · 26 played
For29
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Slavia Sofia offensive edge
Slavia Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia's attack (47%) vs Slavia Sofia's defense (43%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Slavia Sofia75%
0Draws
1Septemvri Sofia25%