Goal expectancy
1.68Expected goals0.95
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Slavia Sofia 2-1 Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Slavia Sofia
Estimated win chances: Slavia Sofia 54.5%, draw 24.2%, Septemvri Sofia 21.3%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedSlavia Sofia
Weighted momentum
Slavia Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
31Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia · High-risk / fragile
Slavia Sofia
10W · 10D · 12LRecent →LDDLWLDWWLLLLDWWWWWDDWDDLDWLLLLD
Momentum index
Septemvri Sofia
7W · 7D · 18LRecent →DDDWDLLLLLWWLDLLLWLLWDDLLWLWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSlavia Sofia +12
Slavia Sofia
40 pts31% wins
10W · 10D · 12L · 32 played
For37
Against37
Septemvri Sofia
28 pts22% wins
7W · 7D · 18L · 32 played
For27
Against60
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Slavia Sofia offensive edge
Slavia Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia's attack (44%) vs Slavia Sofia's defense (30%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Septemvri SofiaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Slavia Sofia56%
0Draws
4Septemvri Sofia44%