Goal expectancy
1.51Expected goals1.34
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Sleipner
Estimated win chances: Sleipner 41.4%, draw 24.9%, Farsta 33.7%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedSleipner
Weighted momentum
Farsta arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
56BuildingFarsta
Sleipner · low scoringFarsta · leaky defense
Sleipner
1W · 3D · 1LRecent →WDLDD
Momentum index
Farsta
3W · 0D · 2LRecent →LWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFarsta +3
Sleipner
6 pts20% wins
1W · 3D · 1L · 5 played
For5
Against6
Farsta
9 pts60% wins
3W · 0D · 2L · 5 played
For10
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sleipner offensive edge
Sleipner faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Farsta offensive edge
Farsta's attack (67%) vs Sleipner's defense (60%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sleipnerlow scoring
Farstaleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sleipner50%
0Draws
1Farsta50%