Goal expectancy
1.55Expected goals0.78
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sobradinho EC 2-0 Legião Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sobradinho Ec
Estimated win chances: Sobradinho Ec 55.6%, draw 25.6%, Legião 18.8%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellSobradinho Ec
Weighted momentum
Sobradinho Ec carries the sharper recent run (+24 momentum).
7Cold spellLegião
Sobradinho Ec · Structured / conservativeLegião · High-risk / fragile
Sobradinho Ec
1W · 3D · 3LRecent →DLWDLLD
Momentum index
Legião
0W · 1D · 6LRecent →DLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSobradinho Ec +5
Sobradinho Ec
6 pts14% wins
1W · 3D · 3L · 7 played
For4
Against5
Legião
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 6L · 7 played
For2
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sobradinho Ec offensive edge
Sobradinho Ec's attack (67%) vs Legião's defense (27%).
+40 - Legião offensive edge
Legião runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sobradinho EcStructured / conservative
LegiãoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sobradinho Ec50%
1Draws
0Legião0%