Sochaux 1-1 Evian TG Prediction

SochauxSochaux
1 — 1FT
Evian TGEvian TG
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

SochauxSochauxvsEvian TgEvian Tg

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Sochaux

Estimated win chances: Sochaux 43.5%, draw 24.1%, Evian Tg 32.5%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.63Expected goals1.38

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–28%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellSochaux
Weighted momentum

Sochaux carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).

20Cold spellEvian Tg
Sochaux · High-risk / fragileEvian Tg · low scoring · cold form

Sochaux

3W · 3D · 4L
Recent →LWLLDDWWLD
Momentum index

Evian Tg

1W · 5D · 4L
Recent →LDLLDDLDWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSochaux +4

Sochaux

12 pts
30% wins

3W · 3D · 4L · 10 played

For
16
Against
22
Goal diff -6

Evian Tg

8 pts
10% wins

1W · 5D · 4L · 10 played

For
10
Against
15
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Sochaux offensive edge

    Sochaux faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -1
  • Evian Tg offensive edge

    Evian Tg's attack (43%) vs Sochaux's defense (42%).

    +1

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Sochaux57
Evian Tg43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Sochaux42
Evian Tg58

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Sochaux37
Evian Tg20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Sochaux48
Evian Tg52

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Sochaux45
Evian Tg30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Sochaux67
Evian Tg33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Sochaux0
Evian Tg0
SochauxHigh-risk / fragile
Evian Tglow scoring · cold form