Sölvesborg 3-2 Berga Prediction

SölvesborgSölvesborg
3 — 2FT
BergaBerga

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Sölvesborg 37.4%, draw 23.1%, Berga 39.5%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.62Expected goals1.67

From 22 and 22 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 0–16.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellSölvesborg
Weighted momentum

Berga arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).

61BuildingBerga
Sölvesborg · High-risk / fragile

Sölvesborg

8W · 1D · 13L
Recent →LLWLWWLLWDWLLWLLLLLWWL
Momentum index

Berga

11W · 4D · 7L
Recent →WWLLDWWWWLWLWLWWDDWLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBerga +12

Sölvesborg

25 pts
36% wins

8W · 1D · 13L · 22 played

For
32
Against
40
Goal diff -8

Berga

37 pts
50% wins

11W · 4D · 7L · 22 played

For
47
Against
33
Goal diff +14

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Sölvesborg offensive edge

    Sölvesborg faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -12
  • Berga offensive edge

    Berga's attack (63%) vs Sölvesborg's defense (50%).

    +13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Sölvesborg38
Berga63

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Sölvesborg50
Berga50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Sölvesborg39
Berga61

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Sölvesborg26
Berga76

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Sölvesborg37
Berga30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Sölvesborg46
Berga54

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Sölvesborg40
Berga60
SölvesborgHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

4Sölvesborg67%
0Draws
2Berga33%

Recent meetings