Goal expectancy
1.83Expected goals1.44
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sölvesborg 3-0 Österlen Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Sölvesborg
Estimated win chances: Sölvesborg 46.9%, draw 22.7%, Österlen 30.4%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingSölvesborg
Weighted momentum
Sölvesborg carries the sharper recent run (+16 momentum).
38Cold spellÖsterlen
Österlen · cold form
Sölvesborg
9W · 5D · 5LRecent →WDWDWLLLWWDLDDWWLWW
Momentum index
Österlen
6W · 3D · 10LRecent →WLLLLWLDWLWWDLWDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSölvesborg +11
Sölvesborg
32 pts47% wins
9W · 5D · 5L · 19 played
For38
Against31
Österlen
21 pts32% wins
6W · 3D · 10L · 19 played
For32
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sölvesborg offensive edge
Sölvesborg's attack (61%) vs Österlen's defense (42%).
+19 - Österlen offensive edge
Österlen runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Österlencold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sölvesborg33%
1Draws
1Österlen33%